Attribution of global lake systems change to anthropogenic forcing

نویسندگان

چکیده

Lake ecosystems are jeopardized by the impacts of climate change on ice seasonality and water temperatures. Yet historical simulations have not been used to formally attribute changes in lake temperature anthropogenic drivers. In addition, future projections these properties limited individual lakes or global from single models. Here we uncover human imprint worldwide using hindcasts five Reanalysed trends cover recent decades extremely unlikely be explained pre-industrial variability alone. Ice-cover reanalysis consistent with model under conditions, providing attribution change. Moreover, temperature, thickness duration scale robustly mean air across scenarios (+0.9 °C °Cair–1, –0.033 m °Cair–1 –9.7 d respectively). These would profoundly alter functioning services they provide. Anthropogenic is impacting globe, according an analysis based

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Nature Geoscience

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1752-0894', '1752-0908']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00833-x